The global evidence, in sixteen swipes. Every figure is verified against a named primary source — tap any reel's data button to see the numbers behind it.
Prepared for Vodafone Business · Supersweet programme
Not Float's research — Vodafone Ireland's own, announced by CEO Sabrina Casalta: "what hasn't changed is the importance of human connection."
Now read №1 and №3 together. What family and friends share most is money — pocket money, the split bill, the dig-out home. A wallet on every Vodafone number puts banking inside the №1 thing people do on their phones. Connection is the pull.
moved through mobile-money wallets in 2025 — networks run by phone companies, not banks.
M-Pesa launched in March 2007, built by Safaricom and Vodafone. It became the most successful mobile-money platform on earth — and it is still in the family.
of Safaricom's Kenyan service revenue is now M-Pesa. Not calls. Not data. Payments.
processed by Vodafone-family mobile-money platforms in the year to March 2026 — Vodacom, including Safaricom.
EBITDA margin on Airtel Africa's mobile-money arm. MTN's fintech platform runs at 42.8%. Payments is the highest-margin product a telco can sell.
GCash — built by Globe Telecom in the Philippines — is heading to IPO at roughly twice Globe's entire market value.
Irish people hold a Revolut account — roughly three in four adults, on the company's own framing. The pole position telcos took everywhere else was taken here by well-funded neobanks riding the telcos' own rails.
is what Orange lost trying to be a bank. The same company's payments business is thriving. Same telco — opposite outcomes.
Full retail bank, launched 2017. Cumulative operating losses of €1.025bn against just €449m of total banking income. Wound down from 2023.
Payments on mobile rails. ~40m active customers, 9bn transactions worth €164bn in 2024, revenue up 20.4%. Profitable and growing.
Every winner on the previous reels runs the same structure: the telco brings distribution, billing and trust. The regulated partner carries everything else.
Open banking makes every account in Ireland — AIB, BOI, PTSB, Revolut, N26, bunq — a one-tap, biometric funding source for the Vodafone wallet. The neobanks spent a decade building on the telcos' rails. Open banking lets Vodafone build on theirs.
Every market on the reels before this one had a telco that moved first. Ireland's hasn't moved yet.
Accept payments anywhere, directly to your smartphone or by a payment link. Issue yourself a card. Link every bank. Text money anywhere. Swipe →
Every account, one app. Family, joint, business — and your AIB account, linked by open banking.
Issue yourself a card. A Visa in seconds — spending in Lidl by lunchtime.
Move money any way. Money Link, bank account, card — from any account you hold.
Text money to anyone. €100 by text, WhatsApp or email — anywhere on earth.
…and the full stack. Kids' cards, invoicing, credit against the bill, accounting, loyalty.
Every telco on these reels started with one product and a partner. Ireland is the proving ground — and VodafoneThree, Britain's largest mobile network, makes the UK the prize.
The full data library, with every source, is one swipe away.
Float × Vodafone · Confidential · Straw man for discussion. Commercial figures for the Supersweet ladder are Float's illustrative model, not third-party data.
To mark 25 years in Ireland, Vodafone Ireland commissioned a study of 500 mobile phone users aged 40+ (published late June / early July 2026). Announcing it, CEO Sabrina Casalta said:
"For 25 years, we've seen mobile phones transform from simple handsets into something far more powerful — an essential hub for how we live, work and stay connected. What hasn't changed is the importance of human connection."
| What people use their phones for | Share |
|---|---|
| Staying connected with family & friends | 66% |
| Social media | 54% |
| Banking, budgeting & managing finances | 32% |
| Reading the news | 31% |
| Practical tasks (navigation, weather) | 23% |
| Work, email & productivity | 21% |
The top-three ranking is a finding of Vodafone Ireland's own commissioned research announced alongside the CEO's quote (sample: 500 users aged 40+); ThinkBusiness reports the family/friends figure as 67%. The strategic point stands on Vodafone's own numbers: the #1 use is communication — Vodafone's business — and the #3 use is banking, where Vodafone currently has no product. Float's read (interpretation, not survey data): №1 and №3 are the same behaviour — what family and friends share most is money (pocket money, split bills, allowances, repayments). P2P by phone number puts the wallet inside the №1 relationship, which is how M-Pesa ('Send money home') and Bizum reached ubiquity.
These are screens from the live V-Wallet product design (Float × Supersweet, July 2026) — not mock-ups for this deck. Four capabilities carry the consumer story:
| Capability | What the customer gets |
|---|---|
| Issue yourself a card | Instant virtual Visa issued in-app — physical, virtual and disposable card types, added straight to Apple or Google wallet. Card issuing is the moat: it puts a Vodafone-branded card at the top of the customer's wallet. |
| Connect every bank | Open banking links the customer's existing accounts — AIB, BOI, Revolut, N26 — beside their vAccounts, with all transactions in one view and one-tap funding between them. |
| Family money, controlled | A dedicated Family vAccount plus joint accounts: set up kids' accounts, fund and withdraw, and issue a card straight to a child's phone. This is the №1-phone-behaviour (family) fused with the №3 (banking). |
| Text money to anyone | Money Link: pick an amount, send by text, WhatsApp or email — to anybody, anywhere in the world, no matter where they bank. |
Business & personal accounts · accept payments in any form (vPay tap-to-pay on iPhone, payment links, QR, invoices) · connected to the top 80 accounting packages globally · credit against the Vodafone bill (Klarna-style) · card consolidation (roadmap) · invest · factoring · tax filings · loyalty · referral programme.
Product capability statements are Float's own (design and build status, July 2026), not third-party data — the same standard of honesty as the rest of this deck: market numbers are sourced; product claims are ours. Items marked roadmap/TBD in the spec are not committed for launch.
GSMA's State of the Industry Report on Mobile Money is the standard industry aggregate, compiled from operator-reported data. The 2026 edition covers calendar 2025.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Transaction value, 2025 | $2 trillion+ |
| Registered accounts | 2.3bn (+268m YoY) |
| Monthly active accounts | 593m (+15%) |
| Monthly activity rate | 25.7% — highest since 2021 |
GSMA figures are self-reported by operators to the GSMA. Most new registered and active accounts came from Sub-Saharan Africa.
M-Pesa launched in March 2007, built by Safaricom and Vodafone and seeded by a grant Vodafone won from the UK Department for International Development's Financial Deepening Challenge Fund. In 2020, Vodacom and Safaricom jointly acquired the M-Pesa brand, product development and support services from Vodafone through a dedicated joint venture — M-Pesa Africa.
| Fact | Detail |
|---|---|
| Launch | March 2007 |
| Built by | Safaricom + Vodafone |
| Seed funding | UK DFID challenge fund |
| Brand today | M-Pesa Africa JV (2020) |
| Vodafone → Vodacom stake | 65.1% |
| Vodacom → Safaricom stake | 34.94% (→55% pending) |
Vodacom's move from 34.94% to a controlling 55% of Safaricom is a pending transaction currently before the courts (per Vodacom's FY2026 results booklet).
Safaricom's FY2026 results (reported 7 May 2026). M-Pesa is now Safaricom's largest single revenue line — bigger than voice, bigger than mobile data — and an independent analyst attributes the majority of the company's value to the financial services arm.
+13.4% in one year. M-Pesa = 45.6% of Kenya service revenue (KES 400.8bn).
| Measure (FY2026) | Value |
|---|---|
| Transaction value | KES 41.68trn (~$322bn) |
| Transactions | 46.4bn (+25.1%) |
| Monthly active customers (Kenya) | 40.99m |
| Ethiopia active customers | 5.2m (+119%) |
| Share of Safaricom valuation (SIB) | 60.6% |
The 45.6% share is of Kenya service revenue (the group share is slightly lower). The 60.6% valuation share is Standard Investment Bank's sum-of-the-parts estimate (27 May 2025) — one analyst's view, not consensus. Ethiopia actives are 90-day, not directly comparable to Kenya's 30-day metric.
Vodacom's FY2026 results (year ended 31 March 2026), including Safaricom. For context, the two largest African rivals are shown alongside.
Annual mobile-money transaction value processed. Fiscal years differ as labelled.
| Vodacom measure (FY2026) | Value |
|---|---|
| Transaction value (incl. Safaricom) | $525.6bn (+16.6%) |
| Financial-services customers | 103.0m (+17.4%) |
| Financial-services revenue (consolidated) | R16.8bn (+19.6%) |
| Incl. Safaricom at 100% | ~R41.3bn |
| Share of group service revenue | 12.6% (consolidated) |
The 103m "financial services customers" metric is Vodacom's definition and broader than M-Pesa wallets alone (it includes e.g. South African insurance customers). Consolidated revenue excludes Safaricom, which is equity-accounted.
Mobile-money arms report software-grade margins with double-digit growth — inside businesses whose core connectivity revenue grows in single digits.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Airtel Money revenue FY2025 | $994m (+29.9% cc) |
| Airtel Money EBITDA | $525m (52.8% margin) |
| Share of Airtel Africa group revenue | 20.1% |
| MTN MoMo monthly active users | 69.5m (+10%) |
| MTN MoMo transaction value | $500.3bn (23.3bn transactions) |
| MTN fintech margin trend | 40.7% → 42.8% in one year |
Airtel's 20.1% group-revenue share includes intersegment cross-charges eliminated on consolidation. Airtel Money's H1 FY26 annualised value reached $193bn with an IPO "on course" for H1 2026 per the CEO — single secondary source (TechCabal, Oct 2025). MTN's asterisked growth rates are constant-currency.
GCash (operated by Mynt) filed for the largest IPO in Philippine history on 27 June 2026 — ticker GCASH, targeting an October 2026 listing.
Mynt was valued at ~$2bn in 2021 and $5bn in 2024–25 (Ayala, then MUFG's $400m for 8%). The IPO price implies ~PHP 669bn ≈ $10.9–11bn.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Monthly active users (Mar 2026) | 40.4m — ~55% of PH adults |
| Mynt net income FY2025 | PHP 17.2bn (+56%) |
| Mynt revenue FY2025 | PHP 79.8bn (+27%) |
| Globe's stake | 34% (largest shareholder) |
| Globe's equity share of earnings | PHP 6.1bn (+64%) ≈ 22% of pre-tax income |
| IPO raise | up to PHP 92.3bn (~$1.5bn) |
User and financial figures are from Mynt's IPO prospectus as reported by multiple outlets. Q4 2025 earnings contribution dipped after the central bank mandated delinking of online gambling platforms. No Globe disclosure quantifies GCash's effect on telco churn or ARPU — that link is strategic inference, not a reported number.
| Operation | Headline |
|---|---|
| stc bank (Saudi, from stc pay) | 12m+ customers at conversion; full launch Jan 2025 |
| stc pay valuation (2020) | ~$1.33bn — first Saudi fintech unicorn (Western Union $200m) |
| Turkcell techfin, Q3 2025 | TRY 3,410m revenue (+20%), 6% of group |
| Paycell, Q3 2025 | revenue +41.7%; POS +169%; TTV TRY 48.1bn (+78%) |
| Easypaisa (Pakistan) | 59m registered / 20m monthly active; first digital retail bank licence (SBP, Jan 2025) |
| Easypaisa FY2025 | PAT Rs 17.04bn (underlying ~Rs 6.2bn) |
| JazzCash (VEON) | 60m users; $59.7bn GTV in 12 months to Mar 2026 |
| au Jibun Bank (KDDI, Japan) | ¥4.5trn+ deposits (+53% YoY), 6.19m accounts |
| NTT Docomo finance | ¥516bn finance revenues, FY2024 |
| e& money (UAE) | 2m+ customers; CBUAE lending licence, Feb 2026 |
| Viettel Money (Vietnam) | ~24m users (2023) |
| Jio Financial (India) | profitable: PAT Rs 1,613 crore FY2024-25 |
Labels: the JazzCash ~9%-of-GDP comparison is VEON's own 2024 framing. Turkcell figures are IAS 29 inflation-adjusted (the +78% volume is nominal lira). Easypaisa's headline PAT includes a Rs 10.8bn one-off deferred-tax credit. e&'s "most active users in the UAE" is the operator's own claim. Viettel's figure is 2023 vintage. Jio Financial is brand-adjacent to the telco and much of its income is treasury yield — evidence of ambition, not yet cross-sell at scale.
While telcos in Africa, Asia and the Gulf took the payments crown, in Europe it went to venture-funded neobanks — apps that ride the mobile networks telcos built, and monetise the banking layer on top.
Customer metrics differ by company (registered vs active vs revenue-relevant) — treat as order-of-magnitude, per each company's own reporting.
| Player | Latest verified headline |
|---|---|
| Revolut | 75m+ customers; FY2025 revenue £4.5bn (+46%), pre-tax profit £1.7bn; valued $75bn (Nov 2025 fundraise — Coatue, NVIDIA's NVentures, Fidelity) |
| Revolut Ireland | 3.4m customers end-2025 (~3 in 4 Irish adults, company framing); customer balances +56% in 2025 |
| Revolut Mobile | Live in the UK from late 2025 (£12.50/mo intro), announced for Germany — runs on Vodafone's UK network |
| Nubank | 135m+ customers; Q1 2026 revenue >$5bn, net income $871m — more customers than any incumbent Brazilian bank |
| Monzo | 15.2m customers; FY2026 revenue £1.7bn, third consecutive profitable year |
| bunq | 20m users (company-claimed); 2024 net profit €85.3m; expanding to US and Mexico |
| N26 | 5.6m revenue-relevant customers; first full-year net profit in 2025 (€501.6m revenue) |
| Others | Wise 18.9m actives ($660m PBT); Trade Republic 8m / €100bn+ assets; Starling 6.2m accounts (£217m PBT); Chime IPO'd Jun 2025 (~$11.6bn) |
The "three in four Irish adults" penetration framing is company-derived (3.4m customers vs ~4.0–4.2m adults, CSO); no regulator-published penetration figure exists. bunq's 20m is single-source. Every one of these apps depends on mobile connectivity the telcos provide — the telco carries the traffic; the neobank takes the margin.
Under PSD2, any licensed provider can — with the customer's biometric consent — initiate payments from and read balances in any account in the EEA: incumbent banks and neobanks alike. That turns Ireland's 3.4m Revolut accounts from a threat into reachable funding sources for the Vodafone wallet.
| Fact | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Live in the EEA and the UK | PSD2 covers every EEA account. The UK regime (CMA-mandated, live since 2018) is the world's most mature: 16m users (OBL, Dec 2025), payment volumes +53% YoY, commercial VRPs first live Q1 2026 under the 31-firm UK Payments Initiative. Nothing restricts Float's open-banking model in the UK. |
| Ubiquity ≠ primacy | Fewer than 5% of Irish Revolut customers have their salary paid into Revolut (per its Ireland country manager, Jun 2026); typical users move ~€300/month across from an incumbent account. The primary relationship is still up for grabs. |
| Day-one funding rail | Float's wallet ships with open-banking payment initiation (PIS) as the default top-up flow — one tap, confirmed with the customer's own bank biometrics. Built with Tink, the Visa-owned open-banking infrastructure used by Europe's major fintechs. (Float build status.) |
| What's next: VRP / PSD3 | Variable recurring payments — authorise once, auto top-ups forever within agreed limits. Mature in the UK, arriving in the EU via PSD3. |
| Two rails no neobank can copy | Carrier billing (add €20 to the wallet, charged to the Vodafone bill — no bank involved) and the phone number as a SEPA payment address. Both depend on owning the telco relationship. (Float commercial model; carrier-billing structure requires legal validation.) |
The strategic logic: the neobanks proved you can build a bank on someone else's network. Open banking is the same move in reverse — Vodafone builds a money layer on top of every bank's rails, without holding a banking licence, exactly the payments-led structure that wins on the earlier reels. The salary-primacy figure is a single-source executive quote, consistent across Irish coverage. Note: the EU–Apple NFC commitments cited on the Ireland reel are EEA-only — that is a wallet-NFC point, not an open-banking one; UK open banking itself is unrestricted, and more mature than the EU's.
The failures share one shape: telcos that tried to run full retail banks in mature banking markets, where they had no structural advantage. The successes are payments-led, riding the telco's real assets: distribution, billing and the SIM.
Orange lost €1.47 for every €1 of banking income over the venture's life (Light Reading, from Orange disclosures).
| Case | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Orange Bank (FR/ES, 2017) | ~2m customers vs 5m target; exit 2023; customers moved to BNP Paribas |
| O2 Banking (DE, 2016) | ~70k customers; closed 30 Apr 2022 |
| T-Mobile Money (US, 2019) | Survives, but folded into the T-Life app in 2025; no user counts ever disclosed |
| DT ClickandBuy / O2 UK Wallet | closed 2016 / 2014 |
| Orange Money (Africa, same company) | ~40m actives, €164bn moved in 2024, revenue +20.4% |
Light Reading's diagnosis of Orange Bank: Orange assumed stores, customer relationships and internet savvy would compensate for a lack of banking expertise — but incumbent banks had all three, plus the licence and the balance sheet. The telco advantage is real in payments and distribution; it is not an advantage in running a regulated balance sheet.
Across every success case, the telco never becomes the bank. It monetises what it already owns — distribution, the bill, brand trust, and SIM-based identity — while a dedicated regulated entity carries the licence and compliance.
| Winner | Structure |
|---|---|
| Safaricom / Vodacom | M-Pesa Africa JV; financial services as a segment, not a bank |
| Globe (GCash) | 34% of Mynt, alongside Ant Group (33%) and Ayala |
| Telenor (Easypaisa) | separate licensed bank, co-sponsored with Ant Group |
| stc (stc bank) | separately capitalised digital bank (SAR 2.5bn), SAMA-licensed |
| Turkcell (Paycell) | dedicated techfin segment; 78% of revenue now from outside Turkcell's base |
Supersweet × Vodafone runs the same play: Vodafone provides distribution, billing and the brand; Supersweet provides the regulated payments entity, instant merchant onboarding, the wallet with a real IBAN, and card issuing. Vodafone gets fintech economics without ever touching a banking licence.
Where the risk sits: the regulated activities — safeguarding customer funds, KYC and anti-money-laundering, scheme membership, card issuing — sit inside Supersweet's licensed payments entity, along with the relationships that carry them: Visa, Mastercard, banking and open-banking partners, and acquirers. Vodafone's role is distribution and billing. Supersweet also delivers the commercial capability end to end: merchants accept payments in any form — tap-to-pay, payment link, QR, invoice, card or bank transfer — and the platform connects to the top 80 accounting packages globally.
Risk-allocation statement is Float's commercial position, to be reflected in the partnership agreement. Vodafone retains ordinary commercial and brand exposure, as any distribution partner does — but licensing, regulatory capital and compliance obligations rest with Supersweet's regulated entity.
Three structural facts make Ireland unusually open to a telco-led payments play right now.
| Fact | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Synch died Nov 2023 | The Irish banks' joint instant-payments venture folded before launch — Ireland has no domestic scheme and no bank-owned processor to gatekeep one |
| Apple NFC opened (EEA, Jul 2024) | Free HCE access, default-wallet rights and SoftPOS for licensed EEA PSPs, committed for 10 years — wallets and phone-as-terminal no longer need Apple's permission (UK excluded) |
| Merchant acceptance precedent | Twint, Bizum, BLIK and Pix show acceptance is won through gatekeepers or an owned estate — a SoftPOS-equipped SME base is an owned acceptance network needing nobody's permission |
The Supersweet ladder (Float commercial model — illustrative): SoftPOS from ~€2/month, payment links, smart booking, business-in-a-box at €39–49/month — each rung billed by Vodafone with a revenue share, each rung deepening switching cost. The wallet then extends the same infrastructure to every Vodafone customer: real IBAN, instant P2P by phone number, carrier-billing top-ups no fintech can copy, and a co-branded card.
Ladder pricing is Float's straw-man commercial model, not third-party data. Ireland-context findings are from Float's July 2026 merchant-acceptance research (primary sources on file: European Commission Apple commitments decision, Bizum/BLIK/Twint/SIBS operator data, Irish payments press on Synch).